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Fantasy Football Roundtable -- Week 9 Sleepers & Busts   

Even though I'm sure my opinion is the only one you ever need (kidding ... kinda), it never hurts to bring in a few other people who study this stuff to see what they think.

 

Our roundtable of fantasy pros has been compiling a list of sleepers and busts throughout the regular season, and this week marks our turn to host here at RapidDraft.com. Without further adieu, here are the players we like and don't for Week 9 games.

 

(Opinions are those of the writers to whom they're attributed and don't necessarily reflect those of the rest of the group.)

 

My Week 9 sleepers

 

WR Steve Breaston, Arizona

Anquan Boldin looked gimpy against the Giants two weeks ago and then aggravated that sprained right ankle against the Panthers last week. He should sit for at least a game, but even if he hobbles onto the field again, Steve Breaston should be a more useful target. Chicago's numbers against the pass looked stronger early in the season, but the Bears have allowed four wideouts to surpass 100 yards receiving, which doesn't even count Santonio Holmes' 83-yard outing. After allowing just one touchdown pass in each of the season's first four games, Chicago has yielded two or more to each of the past two quarterbacks who didn't carry the Browns taint. The Bears also notched just one sack in the past three games and got their hands on only six passes over the past two. Look for Kurt Warner to pick apart a leaky pass defense, with any extra attention in coverage necessarily going Larry Fitzgerald's way.

 

TE John Carlson, Seattle

Injuries along the offensive line have caused the team to keep Carlson in as a blocker a bit more after his strong start to the season. Still, he has gotten a solid number of targets over the past few weeks: six or more in three of the past four games. This week's opponent, Detroit, doesn't require any extra attention to impede its pass rush. The Lions couldn't even get to Marc Bulger last week. Detroit has also yielded a league-high seven touchdown passes to tight ends, even while allowing only the ninth-most receptions to that position. Carlson owners should start him with confidence this week.

 

QB Matt Cassel, Kansas City

I think I could probably just point out that the Jacksonville defense allowed Vince Young to complete 15 of 18 throws last week and be done with this one, but I feel compelled to write a bit more. So, let's put it this way: The Jaguars are terrible on defense, especially against the pass. Eleven NFL players have more sacks by themselves this season than Jacksonville does as a team, and six more have just as many. The Jags are so weak at corner that they tried to replace an injured Rashean Mathis with a safety, Reggie Nelson, who has proved vulnerable in coverage at that level. He failed. Before last week's matchup with the Chargers, Cassel hadn't thrown a pick in four games. What he had done in that span was produce three two-touchdown outings. The only thing that could keep him from doing the same in this one would be if his offense can figure out how to score on the ground.

 

Busts -- Jason Sarney, FantasyPhenoms.com

 

QB Tony Romo, Dallas

Although Romo has been great of late, he and his Cowboys travel into a hostile Philly environment on Sunday Night.  The Eagles boast a top-10 defense against the pass, and we all saw what they did to the Giants last week. I think Romo could be serviceable, but 300 yards and three touchdowns may be too much to hope for this week.

RB Laurence Maroney, New England

New England loves to exploit the Miami secondary, and with their rush defense being ranked sixth in the league, I expect loads of passes and minimal reliance on the ground game. If you are desperate, he could get you 8 points, but if you have a remotely better option, stay away from this backfield in Week 9.

WR Roy Williams, Dallas

Williams has admitted that he and QB Romo are not on the same page this season. It doesn't really seem to matter to Tony  since the emergence of Miles Austin, the stability of Jason Witten, and the fine overall play of Patrick Crayton. Williams could turn this season around, but I don't see him doing it against this Eagles pass defense ranked 10th in the league. This season, Williams hauled in just two touchdowns, while never gaining 100 yards in a single game, nor catching five or more balls.

 

Quarterback -- Ginny Loveless, FootballDiehards.com

 

Sleeper: David Garrard, Jacksonville

David Garrard will be at home this week where the Jaguars have a significant statistical difference in their home/away production. Garrard and the Jag offense are only throwing for 150 yards on the road, but at home it's a different story -- they are throwing for 303 yards. The last time the Jags were embarrassed on the road, shut-out in Seattle, they bounced back the next week with a 335 yard passing performance against the St. Louis Rams. They face a comparable defense this week in the Kansas City Chiefs, a team that is allowing 269 yards passing a game on the road. Everyone was disappointed in the lack of production of the Jaguar passing game last week against the worst pass defense in the league, the Tennessee Titans. This week they are back at home, and it will be all systems go for the passing attack.

 

Bust: Chad Henne, Miami

Henne has been able to right the ship in Miami, but this week he statistically faces a tall order. The New England Patriots are only allowing 159.7 yards passing a game at home, 53% completion overall, and have only allowed one passing play of 40+ yards (best in the league). Miami is just ahead of Cleveland and Oakland in road passing yards per game at 118.3. Figure the elements in New England will also prove a stiff test for the Miami skill position players. Look at other options if you are looking for a bye-week fill in this week other than Chad Henne.

 

Running Back -- Bryan Fontaine, RookieBlitz.com

 

Sleeper:  Jamaal Charles, Kansas City

Jamaal Charles gets an excellent opportunity this week to become a featured running back after Larry Johnson literally stuck his foot in his mouth.  Early reports out of Kansas City have Charles splitting carries with Kolby Smith due to the suspension of Johnson.  Charles makes an interesting low end RB2 or flex option against the reeling Jaguars defense.  Jacksonville was gashed by Chris Johnson to the tune of 228 yards rushing, and it now ranks 25th in the league against the run.  Kansas City has struggled to have any kind of consistent offense thus far in 2009, but the Jaguars defense will be exactly what they need to get on track.  Charles should reach 100 total yards and a touchdown in this contest.

 

Bust:  Steve Slaton, Houston

Coach Gary Kubiak played a Halloween prank on Steve Slaton in Week 8.  Slaton's fantasy football owners were expecting a treat of a game against the 32nd-ranked Bills rush defense, but were instead tricked when Ryan Moats stole the show with 151 total yards and three touchdowns.  The new flavor of the week in Houston is Ryan a la Moats after Slaton coughed up his league-leading fifth fumble.  Houston has become frustrated with Slaton's lack of ball security and he now joins a three headed committee with Moats and Chris Brown.  He'll have to prove he can hang onto the ball before the coaching staff with trust him again in big situations to not put the ball on the turf.  The Colts rank 17th in the league against the run and have been extremely effective recently shutting down opposing running backs.  If you remove Frank Gore's 64-yard touchdown run where he broke two tackles, he would have been held to a measly 2.25 yards per carry.  Slaton faces a tough matchup against the Colts and now faces an uncertain future in 2009 and beyond in Houston.  You would do well to look elsewhere for a running back in Week 9.

 

Wide Receiver -- Jim Day, FantasyFootballWhiz.com

 

Sleeper: Michael Crabtree, San Francisco

I will be the first to say I just didn't think this kid would be worth anything this year after missing the entire offseason and two months of the season, but I have changed my mind. I love the way he attacks the ball and never lets it get to his body. He runs good routes and is not afraid to fight for the ball. Last week he went against one of the best pass defenses in Indy and caught six passes for 81 yards and was targeted nine times. And these were not garbage time catches either, the game was tight right until the final whistle. He is obviously becoming a playmaker for the 49ers. This week he goes against the league's worst defense against opposing WRs. Look for Crabtree to take advantage and possibly push over 100 yards for the first time in his career. He may even score a TD against a team that has allowed 15 TDs to WRs. 

 

Bust: Miles Austin, Dallas

Sure Austin has taken the NFL by storm and has broken a few longstanding records in just three weeks of play, but this week he comes back to earth. He faces Philadelphia in a NFC East fight for first place this week, and it should be a knock-down, drag-out battle. Philly has only allowed one touchdown to opposing wide receivers in the last four games, and that was to stud dud Devin Thomas of Washington. I look for the Eagles' defense to do two things: try to attack Tony Romo and make sure to have double coverage on Austin for most of the game. Look for Austin to get less than 100 yards and be kept out of the end zone for the first time as a starter.

 

Tight end -- Greg Dietz, BigTroph.com

 

Sleeper: Fred Davis, Washington

The tight end is arguably Jason Campbell's favorite target on the field, and with Chris Cooley down for the next couple of weeks, second-year player Fred Davis is a solid pickup for not only this week, but until Cooley comes back. Davis has good size at 6-foot-4 and 257 pounds, and some thought that he was the best tight end in the 2008 draft class. He is already averaging more than 8 yards per catch this year and could easily become the offense's top red-zone target, as Washington faces a tough Atlanta squad this week. In the team's Week 7 loss to Philadelphia on Monday Night, Davis racked up eight catches for 78 yards and a touchdown and should be a good start this week, especially for those of you who have/had Cooley on your roster.

 

Bust: Ben Watson, New England

Watson has been one of those guys for his entire career where you expected big things and he never quite lived up to the hype. However, this year he has come through as a top target for Tom Brady and has reached the end zone four times as we head into Week 9, which is tied for the second most he has ever had in a season. However, this week New England welcomes Miami to town and while the Dolphins may not have started the season off very well, this is an entirely different squad at the midpoint of the year. The linebacker corps consisting of Jason Taylor, Akin Ayodele, Joey Porter, and Channing Crowder is one of the best in the league and will have no problem shutting down the middle of the field, which is where Watson likes to run wild. He has probably been a pleasant surprise for many an owner but bench him this week.

 

Defense -- Chet Gresham, Razzball.com

 

Sleeper: Seattle

Seattle is a different team at home and Detroit, with a rookie quarterback going into one of the loudest stadiums in the league, there is a good chance for turnovers.  Add to that Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith don't look to be 100 percent and you have a yourself a great matchup play.  Seattle isn't a powerhouse by any means, but they are a good bye week filler.

Bust: Dallas

I like Dallas and feel that they are coming around, but going into Philadelphia isn't where you want to start them. This has a feel of a shootout with McNabb and Romo chucking the ball all over the place.  There may be some turnovers, but not enough to really make up for the points they'll give up.

 

Matt Schauf is the senior football writer for World Fantasy Games. E-mail him at matt.schauf@worldfantasygames.com. Follow him on Twitter (mschauf63).


Posted 11-05-2009 9:39 AM by mattschauf

Comments

uberVU - social comments wrote Social comments and analytics for this post
on 11-05-2009 12:24 PM

This post was mentioned on Twitter by mschauf63: Week 9 FF Roundtable -- http://bit.ly/4o3BGO -- w/ @GBGinny @RookieBlitz @Razzball @FantasyPhenoms @GregDietz @Fantasytaz

Taz wrote re: Fantasy Football Roundtable -- Week 9 Sleepers & Busts
on 11-05-2009 5:06 PM

The Wide Receivers were done by me folks. @fantasytaz

mattschauf wrote re: Fantasy Football Roundtable -- Week 9 Sleepers & Busts
on 11-05-2009 7:17 PM

For some reason, Firefox displays some of the linked text in our posts here in white font. In case you can't see them, the list goes like this ...

Sleepers -- Me

Busts -- Jason Sarney, Fantasy Phenoms

QBs -- Ginny Loveless, Football Diehards

RBs -- Bryan Fontaine, Rookie Blitz

WRs -- Jim Day, Fantasy Football Whiz

TEs -- Greg Dietz, Big Troph

D -- Chet Gresham, Razzball

Schauf – Fantasy Island wrote Week 9 Start 'Em/Bench 'Em Report
on 11-05-2009 8:10 PM

Let's begin with what you won't find here: You will not see the names of every player worth starting

Schauf – Fantasy Island wrote Week 9 QB Cheat Sheet
on 11-06-2009 8:27 AM

Sleeper: Eli Manning, N.Y. Giants I like the sleeper value on Matt Cassel better this week, but I already

Schauf – Fantasy Island wrote Week 9 WR Cheat Sheet
on 11-06-2009 12:01 PM

Sleeper: Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia The pick here would have been Steve Breaston, but you can already