Even
though I'm sure my opinion is the only one you ever need (kidding ... kinda), it
never hurts to bring in a few other people who study this stuff to see what
they think.
Our
roundtable of fantasy pros has been compiling a list of sleepers and busts
throughout the regular season, and this week marks our turn to host here at
RapidDraft.com. Without further adieu, here are the players we like and don't
for Week 9 games.
(Opinions
are those of the writers to whom they're attributed and don't necessarily
reflect those of the rest of the group.)
My Week 9 sleepers
WR Steve
Breaston, Arizona
Anquan
Boldin looked gimpy against the Giants two weeks ago and then aggravated that
sprained right ankle against the Panthers last week. He should sit for at least
a game, but even if he hobbles onto the field again, Steve Breaston should be a
more useful target. Chicago's numbers against the pass looked stronger early in
the season, but the Bears have allowed four wideouts to surpass 100 yards
receiving, which doesn't even count Santonio Holmes' 83-yard outing. After
allowing just one touchdown pass in each of the season's first four games, Chicago
has yielded two or more to each of the past two quarterbacks who didn't carry
the Browns taint. The Bears also notched just one sack in the past three games
and got their hands on only six passes over the past two. Look for Kurt Warner
to pick apart a leaky pass defense, with any extra attention in coverage
necessarily going Larry Fitzgerald's way.
TE John Carlson,
Seattle
Injuries
along the offensive line have caused the team to keep Carlson in as a blocker a
bit more after his strong start to the season. Still, he has gotten a solid
number of targets over the past few weeks: six or more in three of the past
four games. This week's opponent, Detroit, doesn't require any extra attention
to impede its pass rush. The Lions couldn't even get to Marc Bulger last week.
Detroit has also yielded a league-high seven touchdown passes to tight ends,
even while allowing only the ninth-most receptions to that position. Carlson
owners should start him with confidence this week.
QB Matt Cassel,
Kansas City
I
think I could probably just point out that the Jacksonville defense allowed
Vince Young to complete 15 of 18 throws last week and be done with this one, but
I feel compelled to write a bit more. So, let's put it this way: The Jaguars
are terrible on defense, especially against the pass. Eleven NFL players have
more sacks by themselves this season than Jacksonville does as a team, and six
more have just as many. The Jags are so weak at corner that they tried to
replace an injured Rashean Mathis with a safety, Reggie Nelson, who has proved
vulnerable in coverage at that level. He failed. Before last week's matchup
with the Chargers, Cassel hadn't thrown a pick in four games. What he had done
in that span was produce three two-touchdown outings. The only thing that could
keep him from doing the same in this one would be if his offense can figure out
how to score on the ground.
Busts -- Jason Sarney, FantasyPhenoms.com
QB Tony Romo,
Dallas
Although
Romo has been great of late, he and his Cowboys travel into a hostile Philly
environment on Sunday Night. The Eagles boast a top-10 defense against
the pass, and we all saw what they did to the Giants last week. I think Romo
could be serviceable, but 300 yards and three touchdowns may be too much to
hope for this week.
RB Laurence Maroney, New England
New
England loves to exploit the Miami secondary, and with their rush defense being
ranked sixth in the league, I expect loads of passes and minimal reliance on the
ground game. If you are desperate, he could get you 8 points, but if you have a
remotely better option, stay away from this backfield in Week 9.
WR Roy Williams, Dallas
Williams
has admitted that he and QB Romo are not on the same page this season. It
doesn't really seem to matter to Tony since the emergence of Miles
Austin, the stability of Jason Witten, and the fine overall play of Patrick
Crayton. Williams could turn this season around, but I don't see him doing it
against this Eagles pass defense ranked 10th in the league. This season, Williams
hauled in just two touchdowns, while never gaining 100 yards in a single game,
nor catching five or more balls.
Quarterback -- Ginny Loveless, FootballDiehards.com
Sleeper: David Garrard, Jacksonville
David Garrard will be at home this
week where the Jaguars have a significant statistical difference in their
home/away production. Garrard and the Jag offense are only throwing for 150
yards on the road, but at home it's a different story -- they are throwing for
303 yards. The last time the Jags were embarrassed on the road, shut-out in
Seattle, they bounced back the next week with a 335 yard passing performance
against the St. Louis Rams. They face a comparable defense this week in the
Kansas City Chiefs, a team that is allowing 269 yards passing a game on the
road. Everyone was disappointed in the lack of production of the Jaguar passing
game last week against the worst pass defense in the league, the Tennessee
Titans. This week they are back at home, and it will be all systems go for the
passing attack.
Bust: Chad Henne, Miami
Henne has been able to right the
ship in Miami, but this week he statistically faces a tall order. The New
England Patriots are only allowing 159.7 yards passing a game at home, 53%
completion overall, and have only allowed one passing play of 40+ yards (best
in the league). Miami is just ahead of Cleveland and Oakland in road passing
yards per game at 118.3. Figure the elements in New England will also prove a
stiff test for the Miami skill position players. Look at other options if you
are looking for a bye-week fill in this week other than Chad Henne.
Running Back -- Bryan Fontaine, RookieBlitz.com
Sleeper: Jamaal Charles, Kansas City
Jamaal Charles gets an excellent
opportunity this week to become a featured running back after Larry Johnson
literally stuck his foot in his mouth. Early reports out of Kansas City
have Charles splitting carries with Kolby Smith due to the suspension of
Johnson. Charles makes an interesting low end RB2 or flex option against
the reeling Jaguars defense. Jacksonville was gashed by Chris Johnson to
the tune of 228 yards rushing, and it now ranks 25th in the league
against the run. Kansas City has struggled to have any kind of consistent
offense thus far in 2009, but the Jaguars defense will be exactly what they
need to get on track. Charles should reach 100 total yards and a touchdown
in this contest.
Bust: Steve Slaton, Houston
Coach Gary Kubiak played a Halloween
prank on Steve Slaton in Week 8. Slaton's fantasy football owners were
expecting a treat of a game against the 32nd-ranked Bills rush
defense, but were instead tricked when Ryan Moats stole the show with 151 total
yards and three touchdowns. The new flavor of the week in Houston is Ryan
a la Moats after Slaton coughed up his league-leading fifth fumble.
Houston has become frustrated with Slaton's lack of ball security and he now
joins a three headed committee with Moats and Chris Brown. He'll have to
prove he can hang onto the ball before the coaching staff with trust him again
in big situations to not put the ball on the turf. The Colts rank 17th
in the league against the run and have been extremely effective recently
shutting down opposing running backs. If you remove Frank Gore's 64-yard
touchdown run where he broke two tackles, he would have been held to a measly
2.25 yards per carry. Slaton faces a tough matchup against the Colts and
now faces an uncertain future in 2009 and beyond in Houston. You would do
well to look elsewhere for a running back in Week 9.
Wide Receiver --
Jim Day, FantasyFootballWhiz.com
Sleeper:
Michael Crabtree, San Francisco
I
will be the first to say I just didn't think this kid would be worth anything
this year after missing the entire offseason and two months of the season, but
I have changed my mind. I love the way he attacks the ball and never lets it
get to his body. He runs good routes and is not afraid to fight for the ball.
Last week he went against one of the best pass defenses in Indy and caught six
passes for 81 yards and was targeted nine times. And these were not garbage
time catches either, the game was tight right until the final whistle. He is
obviously becoming a playmaker for the 49ers. This week he goes against the
league's worst defense against opposing WRs. Look for Crabtree to take
advantage and possibly push over 100 yards for the first time in his career. He
may even score a TD against a team that has allowed 15 TDs to WRs.
Bust:
Miles Austin, Dallas
Sure
Austin has taken the NFL by storm and has broken a few longstanding records in
just three weeks of play, but this week he comes back to earth. He faces
Philadelphia in a NFC East fight for first place this week, and it should be a
knock-down, drag-out battle. Philly has only allowed one touchdown to opposing wide
receivers in the last four games, and that was to stud dud Devin Thomas
of Washington. I look for the Eagles' defense to do two things: try to attack
Tony Romo and make sure to have double coverage on Austin for most of the game.
Look for Austin to get less than 100 yards and be kept out of the end zone for
the first time as a starter.
Tight end -- Greg Dietz, BigTroph.com
Sleeper: Fred Davis, Washington
The tight end is arguably Jason
Campbell's favorite target on the field, and with Chris Cooley down for the
next couple of weeks, second-year player Fred Davis is a solid pickup for not
only this week, but until Cooley comes back. Davis has good size at 6-foot-4
and 257 pounds, and some thought that he was the best tight end in the 2008
draft class. He is already averaging more than 8 yards per catch this year and
could easily become the offense's top red-zone target, as Washington faces a
tough Atlanta squad this week. In the team's Week 7 loss to Philadelphia on
Monday Night, Davis racked up eight catches for 78 yards and a touchdown and
should be a good start this week, especially for those of you who have/had
Cooley on your roster.
Bust: Ben Watson, New England
Watson has been one of those guys
for his entire career where you expected big things and he never quite lived up
to the hype. However, this year he has come through as a top target for Tom
Brady and has reached the end zone four times as we head into Week 9, which is
tied for the second most he has ever had in a season. However, this week New
England welcomes Miami to town and while the Dolphins may not have started the
season off very well, this is an entirely different squad at the midpoint of
the year. The linebacker corps consisting of Jason Taylor, Akin Ayodele, Joey
Porter, and Channing Crowder is one of the best in the league and will have no
problem shutting down the middle of the field, which is where Watson likes to
run wild. He has probably been a pleasant surprise for many an owner but bench
him this week.
Defense -- Chet Gresham, Razzball.com
Sleeper: Seattle
Seattle
is a different team at home and Detroit, with a rookie quarterback going into
one of the loudest stadiums in the league, there is a good chance for
turnovers. Add to that Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith don't look to be
100 percent and you have a yourself a great matchup play. Seattle isn't a
powerhouse by any means, but they are a good bye week filler.
Bust: Dallas
I
like Dallas and feel that they are coming around, but going into Philadelphia
isn't where you want to start them. This has a feel of a shootout with McNabb
and Romo chucking the ball all over the place. There may be some
turnovers, but not enough to really make up for the points they'll give up.
Matt Schauf is
the senior football writer for World Fantasy Games. E-mail him at matt.schauf@worldfantasygames.com.
Follow him on Twitter (mschauf63).
Posted
11-05-2009 9:39 AM
by
mattschauf
Filed under: fantasy football, RD Fantasy Football, Matt Schauf, Thursday, Fantasy Island, David Garrard, fantasy sports, Michael Crabtree, football, NFL, Matt Cassel, quarterbacks, Jamaal Charles, tight ends, running backs, team defense, D/ST, wide receivers, Start/Bench, Miles Austin, Laurence Maroney, Ben Watson, Steve Slaton, Roy Williams, Steve Breaston, Seattle Seahawks, Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys, Fred Davis, Chad Henne, John Carlson